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Investment outlook · 2026-06-18 · RVS Investment Institute

Why the Fed paused: growth, inflation and market risks

A CIO-desk note on the pause, the labor market and what bond investors should not assume.

The Fed pause is a statement about both inflation progress and growth fragility. This update keeps the rate path and the fiscal path in the same frame.

Pair with Fiscal reckoning: when do bond markets blink.

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